Thursday, February 23, 2012

The GOP primary map as it stands 2/23/11

Romney wins in areas where Mormons constitute a large chunk of the population and in the "liberal coasts." If the pattern continues, the map could look like this:

The pattern could change a couple ways:
  • The South (Georgia in particular) could favor Gingrich, or Gingrich and Santorum could split the "conservative" vote providing Romney with an opportunity to win.
  • Major metropolitan areas like Illinois and Dallas could pull their states toward Romney.
  • Italian-Americans in New Jersey (17.9% of population), Rhode Island (19%) and Connecticut (18.6%) could relate to Santorum's backstory and turn out in greater numbers.

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