538 investigates Nevada

FiveThirty Eight describes the GOP landscape in Nevada.

Rural voters in Nevada have unique concerns, like the federal government’s management of local land (take for example the controversy over nuclear waste at Yucca Mountain).

In fact, many of the issues unique to Nevada revolve around what residents see as a meddling Washington bureaucracy. Nevadans, particularly in the rural areas, are steeped in individualism, limited government and low taxes (Nevada has no personal income tax).

And analyzes each of the candidate's chances:

However, Mr. Paul has outperformed his 2008 numbers in each of the first four states, sometimes by a considerable margin. If the same pattern holds in Nevada, he could easily get 25 percent of the vote or more.